Blogs and briefs-June
The number of minority-owned employer businesses increased by over 334,000 from 2017 to 2022, adding $738 billion to the economy and creating 1.9 million more jobs in 2022 compared to 2017, @andreperryedu notes. https://www.brookings.edu/?p=1807280&post_type=article&preview=1&_ppp=e2473bf243
Despite recent growth in Black-owned businesses, the share of employer businesses Black people own is 3.3%—substantially lower than Black Americans’ 14.4% share of the population, @andreperryedu, Hannah Stephens & @ManannanAD write. https://www.brookings.edu/?p=1807280&post_type=article&preview=1&_ppp=e2473bf243
Since 2017, Black-female-owned businesses increased by 71.6%, but out of the roughly 70,000 new Black-owned employer businesses created from 2017 to 2022, fewer than half were female-owned, @andreperryedu says. https://www.brookings.edu/?p=1807280&post_type=article&preview=1&_ppp=e2473bf243
Where will generative AI technology most help or harm workers in the U.S.? @MarkMuro1, Shriya Methkupally & @MollyKinder answer this question here: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-generative-ais-workforce-impacts-will-likely-differ-from-those-of-previous-technologies/
Generative AI is not your grandparents’—or even your parents’—automation, @MarkMuro1 & @MollyKinder say. The geography patterns of generative AI will look quite different from those of previous forms of automation. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-generative-ais-workforce-impacts-will-likely-differ-from-those-of-previous-technologies/
Workers in high-skill metro areas such as San Jose, Calif. appear likely to experience heavy involvement with generative AI, while those in less office-oriented metro areas such as Las Vegas appear far less susceptible, @MarkMuro1 says. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-generative-ais-workforce-impacts-will-likely-differ-from-those-of-previous-technologies/
The geography of AI exposure looks like it will be exactly opposite of what it was for previous automation bouts, ensuring it will present new and different riddles, argue @MarkMuro1, Shriya Methkupally & @MollyKinder. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-geography-of-generative-ais-workforce-impacts-will-likely-differ-from-those-of-previous-technologies/
The U.S. industries that stand to be affected by China’s proposed retaliatory tariffs—encompassing a total of 80 different manufactured and energy products that the U.S. exports to China—account for between 400,000 and 700,000 jobs. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/chinas-retaliatory-tariffs-will-hurt-trump-voting-counties-most/
Sargent County, N.D. has the highest potential exposure to Chinese tariffs of any county in the U.S. due to its large manufacturing presence, with 59% of its employment in industries potentially affected. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/chinas-retaliatory-tariffs-will-hurt-trump-voting-counties-most/
Nearly 2/3 of all jobs in industries affected by the proposed Chinese tariffs reside in Trump-voting counties. Of the 2,010 counties with employment in these industries, 1,722 of them voted for Trump compared to just 288 for Harris. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/chinas-retaliatory-tariffs-will-hurt-trump-voting-counties-most/
In a statewide analysis, @AdieTomer & Benjamin Swedberg find that 19 states have no climate resilient transportation plans. Many Southeast and Great Plains states did not create them, such as Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Texas. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/climate-accountable-planning/
While anti-immigration actions might be popular with Trump’s still heavily white and older voter bloc, they disregard that recent demographic shifts mean that increased immigration is crucial for the nation’s future economic vibrancy, William H. Frey says. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/will-trumps-inaugural-address-recognize-americas-key-demographic-shifts/
In a new report, William H. Frey says it is net immigration from abroad—not a return to pre-pandemic birth and death levels—that is mostly responsible for the nation’s population growth from July 2023 to July 2024—the largest in over two decades. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
It is unlikely that the nation’s levels of natural population increase (the excess of births over deaths) will rise substantially in the future due to aging—making immigration a key component of future U.S. demographic growth, argues William H. Frey. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
More than four-fifths of the nation’s recent population growth is due to immigration, a result of still low levels of natural increase, William H. Frey’s analysis of @uscensusbureau data show. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
The notable rise in the nation’s population growth impacted all regions & most states in 2023-24, William H. Frey says. The South leads, but California, New York, and New Jersey rank third, fifth, and sixth, respectively, in numeric gains. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
Immigration contributed more to population growth than domestic migration in the South and several large states, William H. Frey says. For example, Florida and Texas have been gaining population primarily from immigration in the past two years. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
While immigration is often associated with big states, new @uscensusbureau data show that immigration can be the primary and, in many cases, only component of demographic change in states of all sizes and in all regions, William H. Frey writes. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
How much immigration will we need going forward? Recent projections from William H. Frey show that only with high immigration (about 1.5 million people a year) will the population continue to grow through the rest of the century. Read more: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/immigration-drives-the-nations-healthy-post-pandemic-population-growth-new-census-data-show/
